Joy and Sorrow. Own These?

The chode’s forever circling in a stir with the choice. Hum. Life’s weird that way. It tosses everything about in a humongous bag, the jewels amid the junk. We’re left sorting it all out, voting with our dollars, while hoping for a future. Meanwhile analysts refuse to mark even the radioactive as a “Sell.” And that’s life in the sprawling equity market. It’s all there, … Continue reading Joy and Sorrow. Own These?

Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things. NFLX. Disney.

JULY 19, 2020. After close last Thursday Netflix put their Q2 facts on the table. Oops, it was really their suspicions that enraged.  Shares were indeed priced for perfection. They promptly plunged roller-coaster style 11% in after-hours.  But the fall actually began on Monday and didn’t abate until the close on Friday.
What’d the Los Gotos-based SVOD superstar say that enraged?
Simply the expectation of “2.5 million net new adds” for next quarter–Q3.  They also said the COVID crush of new subs is “tapering off.”  That did it.
O.K. Well, John Quincy Adams said “Facts are stubborn things.” And NFLX isn’t the only name in SVOD town.  Like Tom Cruse said in The Color of Money, “Everybody’s doin’ it.”  Disney’s doin’ it–since last November.  So’s Hulu, AT&T with HBO MAX.  Prime too.  But what about the enduring pundit love for Disney?  So Netflix v Disney, when “Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things.  NFLX.  Disney.”  Continue reading Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things. NFLX. Disney.

Dominion Zags Down 10% & Green. Play the Bounce?

JULY 6, 2020. When
the stock price of leading performers declines, they actually become cheaper.  Nice.  Dominion did that today, by more than 10%.  When the share price of bad companies drop it’s called a value trap.  Today, Monday, Dominion launched two press releases.  They changed things.  What did we learn when “Dominion Zags  Down 10% & Green” Continue reading Dominion Zags Down 10% & Green. Play the Bounce?

POWER PLAY. Utilities. Protection?

JULY 3, 2020.  Some may call you mean.  Some may call you rude.  Some will stop calling you at all.  Yet, the truth matters and a fall from a tall building doesn’t create more.  You paid for more, not less.  Consider it.
Power companies expect to be paid every month.  Promises won’t do.  But when you’ve paid to participate in the business, the results are all on you.  Utils are said to be “defensive.”  But from what?  Market crashes?  Capital loss?  Earnings reversals?  “No–it’s income” you say?  Nice.  Is it really income when your utility’s share price folds by double-digits?  How about if their EPS is in reverse?
Since our market was shoved off a cliff and unemployment bounced into the stratosphere, precisely what have the utilities done for you?  Have they kept the “defensive” promise?  Were you “protected?”  Or did you simply pay into a “POWER PLAY.  Utilities.  Protection?” Continue reading POWER PLAY. Utilities. Protection?

Trade Savvy. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.”

JULY 1, 2020. Only money moves share prices so track that money. RSI is the King hell money monster hound. It’s a ticker-tape parade of clues raining down all over us.
Piles of top-shelf tools lay all about us daily. All we have to do is make them ours. The truly savvy are trade-building with dashboards of tools everyday. The savvy up their game. Dashboards of great tools mean deeper looks, more insight, sharper shooting.
Knowing more means more, for you. We’re bringing exactly that. Relative Strength Index signals scope you deep into any and all trades. Multiple ways yo. How now? The bullish/bearish “Swing Rejection.” We’re bringing that along with some of our big paying friends; Fair Isaac, Zoom, Advanced Micro. We’re bent on expanding our “TRADE SAVVY. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.” Continue reading Trade Savvy. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.”

Zooming Now. Nothing Stands in the Way.

JUNE 25, 2020. When
charts look like flagpoles there’s trouble in the wind.  Zoom’s doesn’t.  When share prices nearly triple in six months, that’s trouble. Right?  ZM’s has.  Healthy sustainable growth takes a breath once in a while, rhythmically really.  Zoom’s doing that, consistently.  Healthy growth resembles a staircase; rise and rest.  Again, San Jose-based Zoom’s got that too.  So what’s the danger, if there is one? So what’s an investor to do when ZM’s shares are “Zooming Now.  Nothing Standing in the Way.” Continue reading Zooming Now. Nothing Stands in the Way.

While the World. Nvidia

JUNE 20, 2020 Our market blinds with the brilliance of an angry diamond. Hot here now there; secular tech, airlines, energy, financials to the cyclicals. Meanwhile mega-caps shimmer on. As the smoking money chases, SaaS tech bubbles or simply soars straight into space. While Tesla and FICO rage deafeningly the malicious warning sign leers; “Victims chase.” The burned have learned.
When prices double anything after is chasing crispy.
Astounding growth is astounding, when you’re in from the start. Merely spectacular growth is often better when searching for something to acquire. That’s NVIDIA. One month return 16%. YTD return a mere 56.5%. Of course it’s expensive. But so is a Benz, until Drunky the Clown center-punches you and you walk away. Only value managers complain like that, as they down yet another dose of 3M. They keep scads out of Amazon.
While the world fights the invisible, while the world resists nature’s call to gather, while the world pushes even deeper into our digital future, it’s NVIDIA. Is NVDA a good buy? Only if you like things that even COVID can’t stop. “While the World. NVIDIA.” Continue reading While the World. Nvidia

Our Portfolio. Really.

JUNE 16, 2020 Our recovery from the COVID drop has been spectacular, quick, complex, and shifting. The market’s broadening, now, including the financials, and cyclicals. And what’s that about? Speculation, not economic expansion.
But it’s also reflects investors repositioning at smart prices for more recovery.
Opportunity knocks daily now. It’s a mix of the too expensive and the about to be repeatedly beaten.
Think the air and cruise lines. The easy money’s already been made. It’s all battle field roulette for them going forward. Look for the massive cracks and gaping holes in those businesses.
Trading is new to us and \we traded furiously for three weeks. Then we put our hands in our pockets and simply hawked over the action for the past two. Below is what’s left. We made money and mistakes. We lost no money. Why? In part because we didn’t sell what sunk below the waves. Credibility flows from clarity. See that now in “Our Portfolio. Really.” Continue reading Our Portfolio. Really.

ROCKET STARS. PYPL, ZM, DOCU.

JUNE 2, 2020. It’s all good now–who worries about encryption? Not shareholders of Zoom. Zoombombing’s over now–right? Bombers made indelibly clear that ZM’s claims concerning “end-to-end encryption” were flag-waving nonsense. The flurry of F-bombs, insults, and conference hijackings, hardly dented ZM’s share price. Up over 24% yesterday alone. Rocket Star.
Paperwork rules the economy–“Sign here.” Right. DocuSign’s digitizing yet another bothersome, cripplingly-slow process. Just sign on yo phone and the loan-or deed or whatever’s–all set. How much would you pay for that service? Rocket Star.
Streamlining, digitizing, call it what you will, Paypal’s been doing all that for years. They were there when eBay was born. They have the customer base to prove it. Now they’re peeer-t0-peer and more. Moving and managing money are in part cultural, thus demographic. They’ve got that too. Millennials think Venmo and SoFi not Wells. Since it’s COVID low on March 20th, PYPl’s risen 78.2% into yesterday’s close. Consider PYPL, another “Rocket Star. PYPL, ZM, DOCU.” Continue reading ROCKET STARS. PYPL, ZM, DOCU.