JUNE 30, 2019. Social media got it wrong. The real quote is “If it’s not on TV it didn’t happen.” Investing talk happens on TV. A lot of other things are going on at the same time, on the same exact channel. As Americans we could package a totaled dump truck with the most delicate diamond ring, and both would arrive “all good.” Same same with financial TV. Enjoy.Read more
JUNE 15, 2019. Who doesn’t enjoy a mad swarm of bees–more than a trade war wedgie? Bees obey rules, usually. Besides, it’s hard to make sense with your unders wrapped around your chin. Trade is a fight and all fights are personal. Can anyone else hear that back-up warning beep? Once launched trade wars float forward creating some funky life all their own. Trade wars are also sort of like that guy stitch-fixed together out of spare parts by that famous German doctor. No one knows what’s coming next. They lumber and lurch clumsily crushing anything good and sensible. Soon the goal shifts to stopping the damage.
Thieves piss everyone off, with the exception of those doing the thieving. Some entities refuse anything but a boot in the ass. Ask T. May. Middle school also proved that. Such requests should be solemnly honored. Talk goes only so far. Sometimes only a frown signifies progress. “Forced technology transfer” is not free trade, and “Joint venture partners” who systematically steal are not partners. Meanwhile the WTO has never loved America and looking to them for fairness is as effective as tossing empty pop cans.
This gargantuan pie fight mashes onward, and investors make their way through the mess. Doing so intelligently means sticking to what works. No one knows our collective future. They only pretend to. We alone hold on to our portfolio rudder. Thriving this trade war. Ultimately one truth exits. The decisions are ours.
MAY 30, 2019. Summer comes. The heat boils up your neck and beads down your back, and then it’s over. Once again days shorten. Again we miss the blazing light and glance quickly back wondering where it all went. A perspective falls naturally into place.
Summers don’t come off a rack. They are not stock. Each is unique, in its’ own way. Patterns shift. Yet each year we stare past a sunglass and feel a solidarity with others–people we don’t know, yet sense a unity with in this thing we know as life, and heat, and prolonged unfolding. Amen to that, because together we’re at our strongest. That’s one thing that brings us to this page.
Stocks are only part of our days. But we love it–honestly we do, or we wouldn’t bother. You’ve heard it before “Sell in May and go away.” Summer action is a slower, even sleepy time, traditionally. Many money managers actually go on vacation. Funds go on auto-pilot. The French abandon their desks. They flee a heated Paris for a month and live. God knows the Italians do. They understand. Perhaps there’s a clue here, for us, concerning stocks, and a sweaty stressed stupid market, in need of a flighty butterfly heart. It’s summertime.
MAY 5, 2019. Fighting stone theft has brought down the acid rain of trade warring. Correcting the outrage of “Forced Technology Transfer” is turning out to be outrageously expensive. Follow the bouncing tariffs, as the process takes now bumbling share prices down the basement stairs into chaos. No predictable end exists to a war that looks likely to produce a prolonged market decline.
If you’re not defensively positioned now, it’s too late. The remainder of the market seems set for lower prices. We see China-free secular momentum stocks as a refuge, even in a slower economy. Yet even those are targeted now. A descending market takes everyone down. Stay and ride it out? Or return when prices are lower?
Should you be invested in this trade war market?
APRIL 16, 2019. No shortage exists. Glance behind. The line begins at your back and everyone there wants to “help you,” for a price. Sign-up for yet another ass-wipe newsletter. They have a “seminar, just for you”–you and your credit card.
We want nothing from you. We’re sharing our journey with you because we love it, and we were once callously side-swiped by the filthy retail investing hucksters and don’t want that to happen to other people. Here are the facts as we best see them. Our market is expensive. That means danger. No one ever got paid a Fa King dime for playing on the highway. This market’s now a highway.
No definitive warnings are ever issued prior to fugly market resets. They happen like earthquakes. They also leave behind destruction. No shortage of doomsday hucksters exists either, and they have “newsletters” too. We’re not calling for doomsday. We’re saying prices are high, and high prices always come down. Often they do so in a sudden sickening gut-wrenching manner. That’s history, not opinion. Buy high, fall far, and this market is tall. Tick tick.
MARCH, 31, 2019. Times change. But god it’s been nice. For years we rode that rising wave. Everyone had a great time. Now it’s curling if not crashing. Storms have come to our formally splendid seas. Many have harbored. As the placid and neat turned angry, utils have grown too expensive to buy. That’s how it goes. Did you grab your slice? Upward and onward we go. Oops, we meant simply onward, and up and down.
The S&P can’t hold 2815 with either wet hand. Our fed’s given up attempting to predict what he isn’t reading. Our bull’s shuffling restlessly. Long term investors are rethinking their approach, as every spike simply melts away into sad little puddles. Has your thinking shifted? Still attempting to climb in that smart slow way? Yeah, us too. But we’re scattered.
Predictable pauses had for years led gracefully into plumy runs of joy and slap-happy success. We’re here to help you forget all that. The way forward feels different now, more difficult, and clearly less promising. We’re struggling to maintain focus. We’re ready to instantly sell any three hundred dollar move. But we did exactly that when ETSY reported, and were promptly left behind.
Market storm socks are stiff. Headwinds shift and gales whip ugly everyday. The warnings are in the water. Our markets now, as seen through five mega-leaders and their clutch of sectors. FANG will not prove a pristine harbor this time. Nor will healthcare. We’re all gonna get wet.
FEBRUARY 3, 2019. Change often comes in a flash. Ask the man who brings pizza to our office. He sports shorts everyday. He came from southern California where snow is unknown and assures us “its’ all good.” That’s when we pay him 50% above pie price and discuss stock picks.
He’s one of the few and only the few who wear shorts year round. Shorts in the snow may be an individual thing, but for sure only the rare individuals own individual stocks when things get tough. That’s like shorts-wearing while strolling the snow around the building ledge. And only the few out of the last group make it pay.
STOCKjAW works around the clock to make it pay. We’re lucky that way and share it all with you joyously. It’s not a secret to sell, as far as we’re concerned. It’s spreading the joy. Stand tough now and you’ll get 50% above pie price. Our picks now.