Joy and Sorrow. Own These?

The chode’s forever circling in a stir with the choice. Hum. Life’s weird that way. It tosses everything about in a humongous bag, the jewels amid the junk. We’re left sorting it all out, voting with our dollars, while hoping for a future. Meanwhile analysts refuse to mark even the radioactive as a “Sell.” And that’s life in the sprawling equity market. It’s all there, … Continue reading Joy and Sorrow. Own These?

Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things. NFLX. Disney.

JULY 19, 2020. After close last Thursday Netflix put their Q2 facts on the table. Oops, it was really their suspicions that enraged.  Shares were indeed priced for perfection. They promptly plunged roller-coaster style 11% in after-hours.  But the fall actually began on Monday and didn’t abate until the close on Friday.
What’d the Los Gotos-based SVOD superstar say that enraged?
Simply the expectation of “2.5 million net new adds” for next quarter–Q3.  They also said the COVID crush of new subs is “tapering off.”  That did it.
O.K. Well, John Quincy Adams said “Facts are stubborn things.” And NFLX isn’t the only name in SVOD town.  Like Tom Cruse said in The Color of Money, “Everybody’s doin’ it.”  Disney’s doin’ it–since last November.  So’s Hulu, AT&T with HBO MAX.  Prime too.  But what about the enduring pundit love for Disney?  So Netflix v Disney, when “Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things.  NFLX.  Disney.”  Continue reading Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things. NFLX. Disney.

Trade Savvy. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.”

JULY 1, 2020. Only money moves share prices so track that money. RSI is the King hell money monster hound. It’s a ticker-tape parade of clues raining down all over us.
Piles of top-shelf tools lay all about us daily. All we have to do is make them ours. The truly savvy are trade-building with dashboards of tools everyday. The savvy up their game. Dashboards of great tools mean deeper looks, more insight, sharper shooting.
Knowing more means more, for you. We’re bringing exactly that. Relative Strength Index signals scope you deep into any and all trades. Multiple ways yo. How now? The bullish/bearish “Swing Rejection.” We’re bringing that along with some of our big paying friends; Fair Isaac, Zoom, Advanced Micro. We’re bent on expanding our “TRADE SAVVY. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.” Continue reading Trade Savvy. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.”

Our Portfolio. Really.

JUNE 16, 2020 Our recovery from the COVID drop has been spectacular, quick, complex, and shifting. The market’s broadening, now, including the financials, and cyclicals. And what’s that about? Speculation, not economic expansion.
But it’s also reflects investors repositioning at smart prices for more recovery.
Opportunity knocks daily now. It’s a mix of the too expensive and the about to be repeatedly beaten.
Think the air and cruise lines. The easy money’s already been made. It’s all battle field roulette for them going forward. Look for the massive cracks and gaping holes in those businesses.
Trading is new to us and \we traded furiously for three weeks. Then we put our hands in our pockets and simply hawked over the action for the past two. Below is what’s left. We made money and mistakes. We lost no money. Why? In part because we didn’t sell what sunk below the waves. Credibility flows from clarity. See that now in “Our Portfolio. Really.” Continue reading Our Portfolio. Really.

“Day Trade Crazy?”

MAY 25, 2020. Taking your money on a pandemic stroll is stone crazy. Cash is nice. But doing nothing’s smart for only so long. Statues can afford it. We’re not made of stone, nor is our market. In fact, the market’s the very definition of dynamic change. And now?
Our market’s a train track. It’s tech and healthcare. That’s it. Nine of eleven sectors are in reverse YTD. Fixed income’s a sick joke. So what’s an investor to do? Patiently look to slowly reposition part of your portfolio for a wider recovery. Think about trading what’s been working. Is that “Day Trade Crazy?” Continue reading “Day Trade Crazy?”

Rise Exit Repeat. Patterns That Pay.

MAY 9, 2020. What’s the market story? Saw tooth. That’s what stocks and markets do. Done. Stock price gyrations net out either up or down, eventually. Chode still sinks while cream still rises.
Meanwhile investors scheme, wait, hope, and scratch like simians. We’ve never been paid for scratching, and we’ve done a lot of that. Yes, the market action’s fun, or sickening. Someone talked about the market; “a tale told by an idiot.” Well, yeah. That guy obviously understood price-action.
Some are slower than others. Thus finally, we’re learning to make those ass-itching gyrations pay. We’re discovering the countless paydays along the way. We’re beginning to do so by crisp design. We’re sharing it with you so you can too. You probably are already.
Long-term investors leave bucket-loads on the table. Why? Because they ignore the majority of the movement. Yet truly savvy players invest and trade. We’re doing both now, and we’re geeked out of our minds. We hope you love it too. The cash for our example trade’s on the way.
“Rise Exit Repeat. Patterns That Pay.” Continue reading Rise Exit Repeat. Patterns That Pay.

Kirkland Lake Gold. Mining For Facts.

APRIL 4, 2020. No one skips this monstrous spanking machine market. How ’bout gold? No, not even things that shine escape the spank. Zoom Video’s been shining. Following the Guardian beat-down article it more glows, in the dark, as a misleader, rather than a leader. Love it or not, yet it’s difficult to love a firm that announces its’ “halting feature development to focus on security and safety.” Isn’t that supposed to be job one?
But then Kirkland’s the question. Back in January when we last covered KL they were technically challenging a jaw-dropping three-year uptrend. And Now? “Kirkland Lake Gold. Mining For Facts.” Continue reading Kirkland Lake Gold. Mining For Facts.

The Hunker

MARCH 18, 2020. Centennial storms happen more frequently now. Thus the “once in 100 years” line is wholly meaningless. Canned goods are still good, and still canned. Katrina was tragic and also an apt analogy to our market, and now our economy.
The Ka Ka’s sharply hit the props when TV waves bow beneath the weight of canned policy verbiage from Capitol Hill and your closed library. That’s why Reed Hastings built Netflix.
Meanwhile, financial facilitation and relief thinking is said to be coursing on Capitol Hill. We’ll see. Much of what the Fed actually does exists below the media line. Only financial professionals even understand the repo market and Fed actions that maintain liquidity.
The fed’s doing those things. Yet banks and REITs are disastrous.
The Fed’s for real, but not alone. Being informed is essential, but bathing in “we’re making sure” isn’t. We’re watching closely yet shuffling in a dose of “the Hunker.” Continue reading The Hunker