BUSINESS, CULTURE, Editor's Choice, EDITOR'S DESK, GREEDY CREEP, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, Reader's Choice, THINKING NOW

You–the Real Retail Target

FEBRUARY 20, 2021. Retail investing means dancing with the big money. The subject is money and the object is to get it–from us. It’s always worked that way, until Reddit traders turned the tables and nearly squashed Melvin Capital. What does that mean? That for the first time in history the retail investor flipped the game on the predacious big money gangs. How was this Reddit move described? A “flash mob.” Retail investors have been the strategic target of stunningly-sophisticated “firms” forever. How?
Think account management fees, account maintenance fees, trading fees, commissions, the 2/20 hedge fund structure, and private equity’s short selling schemes, a practice that works, and profits, against every long retail investor. “You–the Real Retail Target.”

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EDITOR'S DESK, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS, TECHNICALS, TRADING

Being Paid in Waves. Day Trading Alteryx.

DECEMBER 6, 2020. We’ve been trading our asses off. Jesus Christos. How hard can it be to spot a hold at a price? Harder everyday. Why? Valuations. Repeat “multiple expansion,” atop a troubled economy. And how does that end? Fugly, every fugly time. “Hunt the beaten down cyclicals” you say? “Build a barbell” you say? Well, of course.
That approach says balance lockdown plays with recovery plays. Uh hum. Why do you suppose we’ve just covered Ford and GM?
This story’s simple. Narrow markets, such as we’ve had for months, squeeze money into the few plays that are working. Think the mega-caps, Tesla too. Those monster runs are a bit chasey and slippery anti-trust questions now.
And the already hot cyclicals and remaining lockdown plays? Multiple expansion. And what’s that? Inflated share prices residing on fixed fundamentals. Who pays up, and again, for the exact same earnings? Absolutely everyone. That changes when earnings come in light. Oh boy. And what does that look like? Fugly, sudden, rude.
Did we mention–we’ve been trading our asses off? We’re investors and that means trading too. That’s what we do. And we’re “Being Paid in Waves. Day Trading Alteryx.”

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EDITOR'S DESK, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS, TECHNICALS, TRADING

Synaptic Snap. SYNA

Link to the Real. It Pays. The images on the screen haven’t always moved when touched. Poking and swiping at our phones or most everything else is yet another example of what we all live with now; technological innovation. Thank Synaptics in part for that one. San Jose-based Synaptics is involved in the “development, marketing, […]

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EDITOR'S DESK, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS, TECHNICALS, TRADING

Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things. NFLX. Disney.

JULY 19, 2020. After close last Thursday Netflix put their Q2 facts on the table. Oops, it was really their suspicions that enraged.  Shares were indeed priced for perfection. They promptly plunged roller-coaster style 11% in after-hours.  But the fall actually began on Monday and didn’t abate until the close on Friday.
What’d the Los Gotos-based SVOD superstar say that enraged?
Simply the expectation of “2.5 million net new adds” for next quarter–Q3.  They also said the COVID crush of new subs is “tapering off.”  That did it.
O.K. Well, John Quincy Adams said “Facts are stubborn things.” And NFLX isn’t the only name in SVOD town.  Like Tom Cruse said in The Color of Money, “Everybody’s doin’ it.”  Disney’s doin’ it–since last November.  So’s Hulu, AT&T with HBO MAX.  Prime too.  But what about the enduring pundit love for Disney?  So Netflix v Disney, when “Facts Are Stub-Crazy Things.  NFLX.  Disney.” 

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EDITOR'S DESK, INVESTING, STOCKS, TECHNICALS, TRADING

Trade Savvy. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.”

JULY 1, 2020. Only money moves share prices so track that money. RSI is the King hell money monster hound. It’s a ticker-tape parade of clues raining down all over us.
Piles of top-shelf tools lay all about us daily. All we have to do is make them ours. The truly savvy are trade-building with dashboards of tools everyday. The savvy up their game. Dashboards of great tools mean deeper looks, more insight, sharper shooting.
Knowing more means more, for you. We’re bringing exactly that. Relative Strength Index signals scope you deep into any and all trades. Multiple ways yo. How now? The bullish/bearish “Swing Rejection.” We’re bringing that along with some of our big paying friends; Fair Isaac, Zoom, Advanced Micro. We’re bent on expanding our “TRADE SAVVY. The RSI’s “Swing Rejection.”

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EDITOR'S DESK, FUNDAMENTALS, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS, TECHNICALS, TRADING

Our Portfolio. Really.

JUNE 16, 2020 Our recovery from the COVID drop has been spectacular, quick, complex, and shifting. The market’s broadening, now, including the financials, and cyclicals. And what’s that about? Speculation, not economic expansion.
But it’s also reflects investors repositioning at smart prices for more recovery.
Opportunity knocks daily now. It’s a mix of the too expensive and the about to be repeatedly beaten.
Think the air and cruise lines. The easy money’s already been made. It’s all battle field roulette for them going forward. Look for the massive cracks and gaping holes in those businesses.
Trading is new to us and \we traded furiously for three weeks. Then we put our hands in our pockets and simply hawked over the action for the past two. Below is what’s left. We made money and mistakes. We lost no money. Why? In part because we didn’t sell what sunk below the waves. Credibility flows from clarity. See that now in “Our Portfolio. Really.”

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