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EDITOR'S DESK, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

Kirkland Lake Gold. Mining For Facts.

APRIL 4, 2020. No one skips this monstrous spanking machine market. How ’bout gold? No, not even things that shine escape the spank. Zoom Video’s been shining. Following the Guardian beat-down article it more glows, in the dark, as a misleader, rather than a leader. Love it or not, yet it’s difficult to love a firm that announces its’ “halting feature development to focus on security and safety.” Isn’t that supposed to be job one?
But then Kirkland’s the question. Back in January when we last covered KL they were technically challenging a jaw-dropping three-year uptrend. And Now? “Kirkland Lake Gold. Mining For Facts.”

Editor's Choice, FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS

Brain Pill. Two Minutes. MSFT v. GOOG.

MARCH 28, 2020. Spring is sneaking in as our attention is splintered.
We’re petting the cat and peeling thunder and pouring rain won’t stop that.. We’re now under the gun and if that hasn’t rocked your socks then you’re ready for that chaise lounge helium trip up to the stratosphere. Remember that guy in California and his helium balloon lawn chair? He got a call from the FAA. What’s next when both the light and the air grow thin?
Light and air in market terms mean the essentials and the giants: phone, power, and those near a trillion. The smart and savvy warned us earlier that tech would be autopsied in all this. It was. Yet, the Stay-at-Home ecosystem means more of the bigs–more band width, for more remote working, more gaming, streaming, online shopping. Hum, who does all that?
China brewed this virus and it’s now demonstrating this expanding tech truth pushing up behind. We need more not only from VZ, T, and UPS, but also from GOOG, AMZN, and MSFT. That leads us right back to thinking big. When the economic storm boils you wanna bunk with the bigs. That’s why we’re having a “Brain Pill. Two Minutes. MSFT v. GOOG.”

EDITOR'S DESK, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS

Dirt Nap

MARCH 16, 2020. Markets go down, and they go back up. Today is neither the first, nor the last, time it feels like we’re all about to take a “DIRTNAP.”

EDITOR'S DESK, FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

F BOMB

MARCH 11, 2020. Back in 1957 Toyota landed at a derelict Rambler dealership deep in Hollywood. Nobody noticed. “Made in Japan” meant junk. Detroit owned American driving, and had since the beginning. During the mid-80’s the Japanese auto invasion reached critical mass. Buyers had noticed the quality difference. Detroit was caught lame, dopey, and bloated. The junk rolling off their production lines looked good, to them. Buyer felt otherwise.
Meanwhile, Japan’s spiritual egalitarian management style was producing a lean and reliable product line. Fuel economy mattered as well, and those quality-packed offerings carved up the U.S. auto market like a Samurai sword.
And it was business as usual for Detroit. Ford and Gm have habitually leaned backward rather than toward a transformative future. During the Yom Kippur War in 1973 OPEC hit an oil addicted west with an oil embargo. Gas lines wrapped around the block as motorists physically pushed eight cylinder boats toward busy pumps.
Oil trouble sent Detroit halfheartedly toward EV thinking. The obstacles were huge. Did they keep thinking long-term? No. The second oil again flowed they jettisoned the entire EV concept and packed their shaky prototypes into the crusher. They didn’t even leave an EV pilot light sparking. Now Tesla’s all over their backs.
The marvels of Detroit are many, including their repeated myopic refusal to tool for any future beyond next year. Detroit is a come from behind operator. That’s why Ford’s now an “F BOMB.”

FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, MEDIA, STOCKS, THINKING NOW

Windows Down. Tesla.

MARCH 7, 2020. Visions are power. Back in 1969 the Saturn 5 boosted the Apollo Program into our collective imagination. That summer cars were personal and SRBs tumbled in silent grace back to Earth. The vision above bloomed for all to see on the bright side of the moon. Vision turned reality.
Space X lands solid rocket boosters upright on the launch pad. That’s different. The sea doesn’t need them. That’s the power of vision. Elon has an EV vision. Musk is a legitimate visionary, and a charismatic lightening rod. Tesla, his EV car company is on the lie detector presently, seeking a true valuation. None exists–not really. The market simply spins one up by the day. Think spinning Twister dial.
Investors believe in Elon’s visions, and Tesla’s future. They cling to Musk’s future with their dollars. That’s nice, and tradeable. Now Tesla is a legitimate phenomenon, busy making a believer of the wider market. It’s not luck when you only build 365 thousand cars annually, yet sport a market cap larger than Ford and GM combined. Riding the wild vision, “Windows Down. Tesla.”

EDITOR'S DESK, FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

The Good Refuse to Go. Kirkland Lake and Alteryx Prove Golden.

FEBRUARY 22, 2020. The market never was a love song. Often it’s a popping lotto box of bone break. Doing the work don’t mean you’re gonna be loved. Do something people don’t immediately understand and you may be treated like a weekend Elvis.
Kirkland Lake Gold gets it. KL just bought a brighter future and beat the numbers like a gong. Elvis. They just reported again and now may be your moment. When you grow EPS by 104%, and revenue by 51%, over the entire year, you may just be a pulsar.
We’ve also been strapped-up with Alteryx, keepin’ the faith and being paid. We did just talk “Alteryx Again & Again. The Pattern You Can Play.” Now we’re back to report the results–theirs and ours. Did Alteryx remain true to it’s ways? Nonetheless, “The Good Refuse to Go. Kirkland Lake and Alteryx Prove Golden.”

FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

Alteryx Again and Again. The Pattern You Can Play.

FEBRUARY 12, 2020. Patterns matter, like habits. Grasping their way matters more. On the Super Highway of Now data’s king and those without only pick around the edges. “Data” you patter? Think sports stats, or Invine-based Alteryx. Yup. AYX reports on Thursday, and there’s a pattern. That’s why we’re writing you now. We think this pattern is actionable.
Actionable insight is what Alteryx is also all about–using data analysis to drive productivity, direction, and focus. For our purpose the pattern’s in their chart. We’ve got those too. Each time AYX reports investors behave much the same way. We know that because we looked, and now’s the time to know.
When economies slow cyclicals slip to your portfolio’s back side. That’s a pattern also, that’s industrials, materials, staples, energy, real estate. What’s left? IT, secular growth, and that’s “Alteryx Again and Again. The Pattern You Can Play.”