FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, Specials, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

Amazon. Simply Amazing.

JUNE 9, 2019. Who else compels massive companies to adapt, to create new types of positions, by the hundreds?  Who else dispatches teams to widely roam rural routes and residential neighborhoods on irregular and ever-shifting schedules?  Who else’s reach is so extreme that your arrow package swooshes in on a quiet Sunday evening, a day after launching that order?
Of course.  It’s Amazon.  If you ask, they’ll even place it in your trunk, while you’re parked at work.  Really.
Anti-trust?  Near total trust.  We tell Amazon what we want. Indirectly we are telling Amazon what we want them to be, or they know so already, before we ask.  Amazon simply looks, listens, mobilizes, and fulfills, better than anyone in history.  And as investors, when angry waves rock our days, our hopes, we want a big ship, or a star, to punch through.  Of course it’s Amazon.  Name one reason why it wouldn’t be.

Read more
FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, STOCKS, TECHNICALS, THE AMERICAN DREAM

TREX. That’s What’s Next.

MAY 28, 2019. Precisely how much reflected excitement is socially appropriate?  You’re wine touring your best neighbor’s mammoth new hot tub, when you notice it’s clad in exquisite  redwood.  Is it right to raise a toast “Fa King awesome–those redwoods sucked anyway.  All they ever did was stand there.”  How about when a cousin coos abut her  new cedar wood shingles, and she borders a fire zone?  “Nice–of course,” you nod vigorously, lying your ass off with nowhere to stare.  “Filthy buggers.  You ever seen that crap that comes off cedar trees?  Might as well have been you.  They were just beggin’ to be nailed to someone’s roof.”
Life is weird, and situations arise, like grossly over-built 10,000 square foot decks.  But then there’s Trex, actually making American life seem more sensible, and sustainable.  In fact, everyone can feel distinctly better about our decades-long rap sheet of single-swipe plastic bags. That’s what Trex uses to make its’ stuff.
Natural resources are not endless.  Most are not renewable, trees included–unless you enjoy fields of stumps.  Meanwhile, the true filth of the chemical industry remains slightly more contained as no one needs to slather their completely unused and already half-rotted back deck in paints, or stains, and sealants.  Why?  Trex.  Live like an American, while leaving every tree right where it lives.

Read more
EDITOR'S DESK, FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

Extended Hours. The Market is Your Oyster.

MAY 14, 2019. The surface is, well, just the beginning. Much of the story lies below and beyond. Why? Trading never sleeps. Life’s for living and the market’s for winning. Yesterday’s trade war turbulence made that both more difficult, and easier.  The value of existing positions was dragged down, while better prices were created.  We intend to buy more of what we already own, thus reducing our cost basis.  But not yet.
The volatility picture has two additional pieces.  The regular trading session is the sun-bubbly party. Extended hours is the exclusive memory-making after party. Many will tell you to remain top-side, in bounds. Most do, rightly so. Every explorer is warned. Only the few move past those entreaties. They’re the ones with tales to tell.
The pre-market and after hours sessions are known as “The Wild West.” True. Barrel-head bargains are cut in mere minutes while butt-fugly knives routinely fall from a darkened sky.
Collectively these flickering hours are called “extended,” and oodles of the good stuff resides there. We go often now, and so might you. We have two tales, in HD detail–and close up gruesome. Yet we go, to get that good stuff. Plan and know, before you go. Otherwise, you’re just working for the man.

Read more
CULTURE, FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

What’s in There? New Age Beverage

APRIL 30, 2019. Add it up. Delicious, organic, gorgeous packaging, and health-promoting, equals momentum. That’s right. New Age Beverage has all that and more, like CBD infusion. What’s not to love?
Everyday our market gets sneakier. Growth flints and hides and then simply vanishes altogether. So what to do? Be patient. Right now owning nothing is far better than owning the wrong. So how ’bout NBEV? After all, the real growth in growth is in the early days. Here’s the who.

Read more
FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

Table Time for Intuitive Surgical. A Neat Bargain or a Box of Bolts?

April 24, 2019. Teledoc brings the doctor to you. Intuitive Surgical made the doctor consistently precise, and metallic. ISRG went on sale last week and this, following a Q1 report badly received. Top and bottom line misses made fans cranky, while coming adds to cap-ex spending created restless departures. Such happens to even the best.
Growth stocks come and go, and slow along that path. Look at Apple. ISRG’s assuredly on that path. But where? They’re still innovating, and selling. Handfuls of ISRG fans hit the door even before bothering to understand, or so it seems. That happens too. Good.
Prices plunge when holders run. 7% on Monday. Buyers come in when that’s overdone. Up 1.91% yesterday–Tuesday. We think there’s more to come. Tuesday’s buyers will not be the last. We paid for the office visit. $495.61 a share. But will the surgeon be in for us? Here’s the quick chart of Intuitive’s heart. ISRG.

Read more
FUNDAMENTALS, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, MEDIA, Reader's Choice, TECHNICALS, THINKING NOW

Bank Shots. Rates Play Rim Protector.

APRIL, 6, 2019. Buckle your couch belts for all the excitement. It’s simultaneously time for both the Final Four, and Earnings Season. Did your bank transfer? “Survive and move on” remains the way. Please be advised. No shortage of Cinderellas or shilling money managers exists now. And once again, none will fail to foul or front for their favorite financial.
It’s make believe time all over again. Super-heated gases will leak forth from your screens. Back up., content and advertising will meld. Trash will be talked. This smear of nonsense will end only after earnings are done, the nets are cut down, or CNBC finally bloats into a purely promotional gas giant.
“We love Tech–and the financials right here.”
Goddammit. Jamie Dimon doesn’t even “like the financials right here.” “Why do you like the filthy financials?” “They’re cheap, like dirt, and they hit their fros.” Well–of course they do. What else have the banks had to do, except work their fros? NIM is nonexistent.
The banks haven’t done a goddamn thing since that guy on the $10 bill was running the Treasury. What about now? Did Wells Fargo, Chase, or Skank of America transfer to your Final Four? STOCKjAW takes a reality look, again.

Read more
EDITOR'S DESK, EDITORIAL, INVESTING, MARKETS/ECONOMY, STOCKS, TECHNICALS

Harbor. Here Comes The Storm.

MARCH, 31, 2019. Times change. But god it’s been nice. For years we rode that rising wave. Everyone had a great time. Now it’s curling if not crashing. Storms have come to our formally splendid seas. Many have harbored. As the placid and neat turned angry, utils have grown too expensive to buy. That’s how it goes. Did you grab your slice? Upward and onward we go. Oops, we meant simply onward, and up and down.
The S&P can’t hold 2815 with either wet hand. Our fed’s given up attempting to predict what he isn’t reading. Our bull’s shuffling restlessly. Long term investors are rethinking their approach, as every spike simply melts away into sad little puddles. Has your thinking shifted? Still attempting to climb in that smart slow way? Yeah, us too. But we’re scattered.
Predictable pauses had for years led gracefully into plumy runs of joy and slap-happy success. We’re here to help you forget all that. The way forward feels different now, more difficult, and clearly less promising. We’re struggling to maintain focus. We’re ready to instantly sell any three hundred dollar move. But we did exactly that when ETSY reported, and were promptly left behind.
Market storm socks are stiff. Headwinds shift and gales whip ugly everyday. The warnings are in the water. Our markets now, as seen through five mega-leaders and their clutch of sectors. FANG will not prove a pristine harbor this time. Nor will healthcare. We’re all gonna get wet.

Read more