JUNE 25, 2020. When
charts look like flagpoles there’s trouble in the wind. Zoom’s doesn’t. When share prices nearly triple in six months, that’s trouble. Right? ZM’s has. Healthy sustainable growth takes a breath once in a while, rhythmically really. Zoom’s doing that, consistently. Healthy growth resembles a staircase; rise and rest. Again, San Jose-based Zoom’s got that too. So what’s the danger, if there is one? So what’s an investor to do when ZM’s shares are “Zooming Now. Nothing Standing in the Way.”
JUNE 21, 2020 Smart trading, and investing, often rely on patterns. Take them when they’re offered. Alteryx is offering one now. An breakout, over it’s pre-COVID high. This week will determine the “Alteryx. POP SHOW.”Read more
JUNE 20, 2020 Our market blinds with the brilliance of an angry diamond. Hot here now there; secular tech, airlines, energy, financials to the cyclicals. Meanwhile mega-caps shimmer on. As the smoking money chases, SaaS tech bubbles or simply soars straight into space. While Tesla and FICO rage deafeningly the malicious warning sign leers; “Victims chase.” The burned have learned.
When prices double anything after is chasing crispy.
Astounding growth is astounding, when you’re in from the start. Merely spectacular growth is often better when searching for something to acquire. That’s NVIDIA. One month return 16%. YTD return a mere 56.5%. Of course it’s expensive. But so is a Benz, until Drunky the Clown center-punches you and you walk away. Only value managers complain like that, as they down yet another dose of 3M. They keep scads out of Amazon.
While the world fights the invisible, while the world resists nature’s call to gather, while the world pushes even deeper into our digital future, it’s NVIDIA. Is NVDA a good buy? Only if you like things that even COVID can’t stop. “While the World. NVIDIA.”
JUNE 16, 2020 Our recovery from the COVID drop has been spectacular, quick, complex, and shifting. The market’s broadening, now, including the financials, and cyclicals. And what’s that about? Speculation, not economic expansion.
But it’s also reflects investors repositioning at smart prices for more recovery.
Opportunity knocks daily now. It’s a mix of the too expensive and the about to be repeatedly beaten.
Think the air and cruise lines. The easy money’s already been made. It’s all battle field roulette for them going forward. Look for the massive cracks and gaping holes in those businesses.
Trading is new to us and \we traded furiously for three weeks. Then we put our hands in our pockets and simply hawked over the action for the past two. Below is what’s left. We made money and mistakes. We lost no money. Why? In part because we didn’t sell what sunk below the waves. Credibility flows from clarity. See that now in “Our Portfolio. Really.”
JUNE 2, 2020. It’s all good now–who worries about encryption? Not shareholders of Zoom. Zoombombing’s over now–right? Bombers made indelibly clear that ZM’s claims concerning “end-to-end encryption” were flag-waving nonsense. The flurry of F-bombs, insults, and conference hijackings, hardly dented ZM’s share price. Up over 24% yesterday alone. Rocket Star.
Paperwork rules the economy–“Sign here.” Right. DocuSign’s digitizing yet another bothersome, cripplingly-slow process. Just sign on yo phone and the loan-or deed or whatever’s–all set. How much would you pay for that service? Rocket Star.
Streamlining, digitizing, call it what you will, Paypal’s been doing all that for years. They were there when eBay was born. They have the customer base to prove it. Now they’re peeer-t0-peer and more. Moving and managing money are in part cultural, thus demographic. They’ve got that too. Millennials think Venmo and SoFi not Wells. Since it’s COVID low on March 20th, PYPl’s risen 78.2% into yesterday’s close. Consider PYPL, another “Rocket Star. PYPL, ZM, DOCU.”
MAY 27, 2020 Often the technicals are a mixed bag. Other times not. When the long-term chart displays the “Moment of Truth,” yet another retest of long-term support, it may be time to take some money off the table. When the chart does so following a doubling of the shared price, it may be time to sell it all. “TDOCed”Read more
MAY 25, 2020. Taking your money on a pandemic stroll is stone crazy. Cash is nice. But doing nothing’s smart for only so long. Statues can afford it. We’re not made of stone, nor is our market. In fact, the market’s the very definition of dynamic change. And now?
Our market’s a train track. It’s tech and healthcare. That’s it. Nine of eleven sectors are in reverse YTD. Fixed income’s a sick joke. So what’s an investor to do? Patiently look to slowly reposition part of your portfolio for a wider recovery. Think about trading what’s been working. Is that “Day Trade Crazy?”
MAY 16, 2020. Any way you slice it investing’s about building on what you have. Long or short term it all adds up. Here’s how. Enjoy, because this story’s “DONE. Realized Gain +319%. One week.”Read more
MAY 9, 2020. What’s the market story? Saw tooth. That’s what stocks and markets do. Done. Stock price gyrations net out either up or down, eventually. Chode still sinks while cream still rises.
Meanwhile investors scheme, wait, hope, and scratch like simians. We’ve never been paid for scratching, and we’ve done a lot of that. Yes, the market action’s fun, or sickening. Someone talked about the market; “a tale told by an idiot.” Well, yeah. That guy obviously understood price-action.
Some are slower than others. Thus finally, we’re learning to make those ass-itching gyrations pay. We’re discovering the countless paydays along the way. We’re beginning to do so by crisp design. We’re sharing it with you so you can too. You probably are already.
Long-term investors leave bucket-loads on the table. Why? Because they ignore the majority of the movement. Yet truly savvy players invest and trade. We’re doing both now, and we’re geeked out of our minds. We hope you love it too. The cash for our example trade’s on the way.
“Rise Exit Repeat. Patterns That Pay.”
MAY 2, 2020. Bonds are Fa King awesome. Like losing money? Then don’t worry about bonds. Most enjoy protecting theirs.
Yet no one ever launches the real bond punchline. All we ever hear is “yields dropping” or “prices rising.” Only after losing money does one truly learn to value protection, and bonds. Thus the phrase “your first loss is your best loss.” Bonds are brilliant yet treated like some OTC digestive. Not here.
No savvy equity investor should ever rebalance or tie their shoes without the butt-simple bond truth.
Learn it once and own it forever. Bonds are not lame and safety and yield are only a slice. It’s only the safety story that’s lame. Why “Bonds Don’t Suck.”(Photo; Ryan McGuire)