AUGUST 29, 2019. Savvy investing’s bone-simple at its’ core. Buy lower and sell higher. The problem is what lies in-between. What lies in-between is known as risk. Risk comes in two forms. You don’t want any of either.
“Market risk” can only be avoided by not buying. “Individual issue risk” can be selected and “managed” by knowing what and when you’re buying. And Johnson & Johnson?
Opioids have proved a problem whether prescribed, taken, or neither. No? Then why are forty of fifty states already on-board and suing? Who wants trouble? Is buying JNJ’s trouble really “defensive?” Not everyone’s scheduled for court, tens of thousands of times. “Off Label. JNJ. Do Not Drive, Operate Heavy Machinery, or Invest…”
AUGUST 24, 2019. Following Friday this trade war’s about as much fun as a 15-watt light bulb. The pressure’s enough to pop about any bulb. The experience for investors is like either a slow motion explosion or high-speed rust. Yet another bomb hisses and blows every other day and absolutely no one has a program to check for the next.
Meanwhile the market’s a psychotic marvel with no map. The best are beaten with the rest. The simple hope of most–buy low sell high–reads like a joke sought by a fool written by a sadist. America’s been knifed in the neck for decades by China, and China wants it like that. Smart people say there will be no winner, while the losers are plain to see. Where we’re at now and what we’re doing about it, when China’s “Dying to be a Star.”(Photo. Shanghai skyline.)
AUGUST 18, 2019. The shocking is often unbelievable until it’s believed. Does a historic track record of truth matter? Not really. It’s more fun to simply scoff and savage the messenger. There’s always time to act like you were a professional from the start.
Harry Markopolos has a track record. You’ve heard of Madoff. Harry made that call, four times. The SEC slid his 30 page Madoff Ponzi scheme road map into the trash and split for lunch. They treated him like some mad urban shepherd spouting stories of invisible monsters.
On Thursday Markopolos made another call, this time on GE. He was promptly encircled and ripped on by smug CNBC “hosts.” Aren’t they paid to shed light? No apologies for stark professional failure will be forthcoming. That’s how arrogance works.
Never mind that the man clearly stated his expertise is forensic accounting, and that he and his team worked for seven months investigating. Providing a bullet-point breakdown went nowhere. That’s also how arrogance works.
Charges are just that, until proved. Skepticism is human and healthy. Brute contempt upon first hearing is known as arrogance. “Do We Have a Witness? GE.”
AUGUST 17, 2019. Civil safety messaging is mostly about releasing dire information “appropriately. Never panic people.” That includes bridge collapses and raging epidemics. Never mind the yawning gap or the bodies. And GE may be another Enron fraud, but it’s “inappropriate” to say so. Panic’s destructive in it’s own right, but the clear truth helps, if you can get any in time.
Here’s some. The storm’s upon us, parked and churning. Our economic globe’s spinning more slowly now, and the trade bomb’s going off slow-motion style. Gimme shelter. It exists, if you look.
Meanwhile even keen people confuse trade friction with overarching reality; a mud fight for global influence and economic predominance.
This cultural slipknot around our prosperity isn’t about to loosen.
Years of exasperating trade talks with the multiplicity of Japanese “faces” ended only in fruitless exhaustion. They never truly opened their markets. Japan yet lives in an endless recession.
Global slowing, fed fumbling, and the tariff tilt are boring a hole in confidence. That trade face-off that once seemed so sensible now spins with much darker import. Many are now playing not to lose, and offering stock picks accordingly. We look inside those picks. It’s not that complicated, when you actually do the looking. “Gimme Shelter. Stocks For This Storm.”
AUGUST 11, 2019. UPDATE: ETSY
shares climbed relentlessly in a line for nine linked sessions. From September 6 through the 17th ETSY rose 24%, again, in nine straight trading days. More is coming. For two years ETSY has been migrating operations to the Google Cloud. Better performance ahead. Nice. The unique artisan-crafted goods marketplace is melding old and new to stoke their already lashing fire of artsy goods and sales.
Big Data-fueled insight and analysis are new powers coming for this smart Brooklyn-based firm. Learning from Amazon is key. Carbon-neutral is materializing as well. What else? Free shipping standard. STOCKjAW looks inside “ETSY. Real Deal or Just a Reflection?”Read more
AUGUST 8, 2019. Investing insight has a short shelf-life. We just covered Ford. Now we’re stockjawing again. Why? Ford’s a miracle. Now is the time to recognize that–right now. Again–why? Others are beginning to catch on. Ask Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley.
Why is Ford all the rage again, so soon? Again, it’s a miracle, even more so since Monday’s market face-plant. Ford’s Fa King dirt cheap, almost free. The dividend is sky-high, at 6.33%. And? And increasingly many believe it’s payable. And? And it’s holding up like a heavy weight champ, amid some of the fugliest conditions we’ve ever seen. Again, think Monday. Think “Dividend Glory. Ford 6.33%. If You Can Find A Cheaper Dividend, Buy It.”
AUGUST 2, 2019. Summer’s end always seems near when the calendar opens on August. Who doesn’t feel it? The pool splashes on, but not the same. Seasons’ change fills the air, and it fills the air for Ford.
It’s been 116 years since the T and 57 more since the Mustang. Every Ford from then to now has been pushed by gas. Gas is now sad. As the planet chokes the auto industry shambles for form–compact, sedan, gas, big, small, diesel, shared, hailed, hybrid, or EV. It’s the menu at McDonald’s.
Some say the Germans are in the lead, again, soon to be offering real choice. The Chevy Volt’s a joke, and the Toyota Prius isn’t. The Tesla galaxy’s in trouble. Musk’s on a leash, as is our Great Electric Hope.
America’s need is grand and we hate limits. Besides, where you gonna plug-in?
Ford’s trucked between the battery technology rock, and the environmental hard case. Meanwhile the company lives on big produces that rely on cheap gas. Now they’re livin’ on a big dividend promise as well. The vice is closing, socially, despite the price of gas and the shale revolution. If it runs on gas its’ time is running out. Ford. Fabulous Still? (Lead photo; Sunset over Detroit.)