While the World. Nvidia

JUNE 20, 2020 Our market blinds with the brilliance of an angry diamond. Hot here now there; secular tech, airlines, energy, financials to the cyclicals. Meanwhile mega-caps shimmer on. As the smoking money chases, SaaS tech bubbles or simply soars straight into space. While Tesla and FICO rage deafeningly the malicious warning sign leers; “Victims chase.” The burned have learned.
When prices double anything after is chasing crispy.
Astounding growth is astounding, when you’re in from the start. Merely spectacular growth is often better when searching for something to acquire. That’s NVIDIA. One month return 16%. YTD return a mere 56.5%. Of course it’s expensive. But so is a Benz, until Drunky the Clown center-punches you and you walk away. Only value managers complain like that, as they down yet another dose of 3M. They keep scads out of Amazon.
While the world fights the invisible, while the world resists nature’s call to gather, while the world pushes even deeper into our digital future, it’s NVIDIA. Is NVDA a good buy? Only if you like things that even COVID can’t stop. “While the World. NVIDIA.” Continue reading While the World. Nvidia

Our Portfolio. Really.

JUNE 16, 2020 Our recovery from the COVID drop has been spectacular, quick, complex, and shifting. The market’s broadening, now, including the financials, and cyclicals. And what’s that about? Speculation, not economic expansion.
But it’s also reflects investors repositioning at smart prices for more recovery.
Opportunity knocks daily now. It’s a mix of the too expensive and the about to be repeatedly beaten.
Think the air and cruise lines. The easy money’s already been made. It’s all battle field roulette for them going forward. Look for the massive cracks and gaping holes in those businesses.
Trading is new to us and \we traded furiously for three weeks. Then we put our hands in our pockets and simply hawked over the action for the past two. Below is what’s left. We made money and mistakes. We lost no money. Why? In part because we didn’t sell what sunk below the waves. Credibility flows from clarity. See that now in “Our Portfolio. Really.” Continue reading Our Portfolio. Really.